UK commercial property update and outlook
All Property quarterly total return fell sharply again in July to only 1.4%, which was its lowest value since October 2020. This downward trend in property performance was not unexpected, set against rising debt costs and a deteriorating economic outlook that is mired in uncertainty. However, it was a larger fall than anticipated. There has been a marked shift in sentiment over the past three months that has unambiguously resulted in a buyer’s market for investors but presents a more complex picture on the occupier side.
All Property quarterly total return, July 2022
Oxford Economics 2023 GDP forecast
SONIA implied base interest rate forecast, March 2023
Citigroup peak CPI inflation, forecast Jan 2023
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